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October 27th, 2007 THERE IS A SERIOUS SHORTAGE OF HOME SELLERS! By Joe Klock, Sr. Real estate analysts (and what American is not among them these days?) tend to survey the sea of sale signs in most areas and join the gloomy headline writers who conclude that there are not enough ready, willing and able buyers in the market place. Not so, gentle reader! The shortfall is among sellers, of which there are relatively few treading water in the aforementioned sea. "Whoa, Nellie!" you might exclaim (ignoring the by-line clearly displayed above), "any fool, including the by-lined fool, can see that it's buyers that are now in short supply." In so doing, you might cite the hordes of hungry house-hunters who roamed the house-hunting roadways during the many months of a recently-deceased feeding frenzy, fueled by mortgage lenders with deep pockets and all the fiscal restraint of sailors on leave. It is a now a fact of real estate life in most areas that their numbers - and that financial fuel - have shrunk like last month's birthday balloons, and it's true that there are fewer prospective buyers rummaging through the current logjam of listings. Enter the law (not the theory or fantasy) of supply and demand, which dictates that when the number of consumers is dwarfed by a surplus of products, either prices take a hit or activity takes a holiday. That reality underpins my contention that, while there may be too many homes for sale, there are too few legitimate sellers offering them. This position is backed up by more than a half-century of experience on and behind the firing line of real estate brokerage, during which I have seen and survived several cycles of inflation, deflation and stagflation, as well as so-called sellers' markets which morphed into buyers' markets and vice versa. Through all that trauma, certain facts remained unchanged - facts that are being ignored by too many would-be sellers and, sadly, pseudo-professionals. Joe Klock's Fact Of Life #1 Your property cannot sell for a penny more than the BEST OFFER OBTAINABLE from the BEST BUYER AVAILABLE in the current market. Joe Klock's Fact Of Life #2 The only way to determine the true value of a property is to thoroughly TEST THE MARKET and aggressively CHALLENGE THE COMPETITTION. Joe Klock's Fact Of Life #3 Testing a BIGGER MARKET and a BETTER MARKET with GREATER SKILL yields a better price. Joe Klock's Fact Of Life #4 An appropriate listing price will, immediately and consistently, ATTRACT ATTENTION and GENERATE ACTIVITY. Joe Klock's Fact Of Life #5 A property that is PRICED REALISTICALLY and MARKETED EFFECTIVELY will always sell! Bottom Line #1 When realistic pricing is combined with effective marketing, there is a buyer for everything and, given these conditions, any property can be sold in any market. Bottom Line #2 Properties that languish unsold on the market for months and even years are ignoring these "facts of real estate life", often causing unnecessary inconvenience and financial damage to their owners and agents. Bottom Line #3 The market is not always kind, but it is never wrong and those who believe otherwise pay a heavy price for ignoring these "facts of real estate life". THINKING POINTS FOR SELLERS - What you might have sold for a year or two ago is irrelevant. Properties sell for the best price obtainable in the CURRENT market - and not a dollar more.
- If you sell for present market value, even though the price is less than it would have been in the past, you can reinvest at the same relatively lower range. - If your present property has appreciated in value over the years, a reduced price affects only "paper" value, which you never actually realized. - If you genuinely want to sell and have a good reason for doing so, there is little to be gained by waiting for "things to get better," especially if you'll be reinvesting in the same market. - If your home has been on the market for a considerable period of time and is not attracting the attention of prospective buyers, it is OVERPRICED (end of sentence). - If you are unprepared to accept the best offer obtainable from the best buyer available in the present market, you should NOT list your home for sale! THINKING POINTS FOR BUYERS
- The doom and gloom you're hearing about in the mass media should not affect your decision to act if you are ready, willing, able and eager to do so.
- Prices may still go lower, but as soon as they hit bottom, they will rebound with a vengeance, quickly wiping out any advantage you might gain by waiting. - Right now, you have an unusually wide selection of properties to choose from, including those owned by people highly motivated to sell immediately. - With so many potential buyers holding off, you have a much smaller number of people competing with you for the available properties. - When the turnaround comes, those "waiters" will be your competitors, making your offer less attractive to those selling their homes. - Financing is still available at historically low interest rates, but are sure to escalate when activity resumes at more normal levels. - Even if you SHOULD pay a little more than you would if you actually hit the "bottom" of the market, normal appreciation would make the difference irrelevant within a few short years. - If you as an individual ARE ready willing, able and eager to make a move, the time for action is NOW! JOE KLOCK, Sr. is the retired Dean of Coldwell Banker University, a regular columnist for The REAL ESTATE PROFESSIONAL and author of "The Real World Of Selling Real Estate." He may be contacted through his web site: www.joeklock.com or by writing to him at: JoeKlock@aol.com |